Housing starts rebound after November decline

Furthermore, the backlog of unused permits rose in December, providing forward momentum for housing production starting off the new year.

Housing starts in December climbed 10.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.004 million, according to the Commerce Department’s monthly report on residential construction. A total of 1.953 million housing units were started last year, up 5.7 percent from 1.848 million starts in 2003, NAHB reported.

“The nation’s home builders continue to move forward to meet the strong housing demand that has characterized the marketplace for some time, and we are confident that 2005 will be another excellent year for housing,” said NAHB President David Wilson, a custom home builder from Ketchum, Idaho, in a news release.

Wilson noted that the industry was helped last year by persistently low mortgage interest rates, and he said that ongoing gains this year in jobs and household income should help offset the slow but steady rise in mortgage interest rates that is anticipated as a result of Federal Reserve policy.

Single-family production was up 13.1 percent in December to an annual rate of 1.678 million units, the second strongest monthly pace for all of 2004. The 1.608 million single-family homes started in 2004, an all-time high, was 7.3 percent above the 1.499 million single-family units started in 2003.

“Home building in December was absolutely solid, finishing up the year nicely after some softening in November that was related to bad weather,” said David Seiders, chief economist of NAHB. “The level of unused building permits moved up last month, and that is a favorable sign for starts activity as we move forward this year.”

He added that builders polled in this month’s NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index expressed a high degree of optimism about housing market conditions currently and over the next six months.

Seiders said he expected to see a modest decline, of roughly 3 percent to 4 percent, in housing starts this year as the result of higher mortgage rates, which are projected to average about 6.3 percent on fixed-rate loans, up from 5.8 percent last year.

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